Paul Baker

Experience

• 

  Development Finance Consultants Casablanca (Morocco)

  Sept 1992 - Jul 1993

  Researcher Assistant

  Assisting in organisational audits and analysis of economic indicators for a World Bank funded project to implement management information systems in regional agricultural offices.

• 

  DFC Group

  Jun 1995 - Sept 1995

  Researcher

  Balance of payments and public debt forecasting for Saudi Arabia; Macroeconomic and political indicators of North Africa, Middle East and Eastern Europe; Feasibility studies of establishing a capital market and commercial bank in Turkmenistan and Kenya; and behavioural assessment of savings and investment rates in OECD countries.

• 

  Luxembourg European Commission

  Oct 1995 - Jan 1998

  Balance of Payments Unit Economist-Statistician Consultant

  Methodology, harmonisation and estimation of EU balance of payments. Author of various European Commission policy papers on balance of payments. Member of the Committee on Monetary, Financial and Balance of payments statistics (European Monetary Institute-European Commission), balance of payments working party (EMI, EC and OECD), experts of trade in services statistics (EC-OECD), trade assessment mechanism between the EU and Japan (WTO monitored)

• 

  Institute for European Latin American Relations

  Jan 1998 - Nov 1999

  Researcher

  Manager of quantitive research and statistics

• 

  DFC Group

  Nov 1999 - Dec 2001

  Consultant

  Banking, financial and economic studies for Eastern European economies; privatisation information memoranda; and trade policy analysis and WTO accession policies

• 

  UNCTAD/ WTO International Trade Centre

  Feb 2000 - Dec 2002

  Trade Economist

  Responsible for studies on export performance, trade strategies and integration of developing countries in the multilateral trading system. Analysis of macroeconomic framework and financial institutions in South East Asia and other developing countries; to support SME's access to trade finance. Projects held in Africa, CIS, East Asia and Latin America

• 

  Commonwealth Secretariat/ Policy

  Apr 2002 - Aug 2002

  Consultant

  Project manager on study of e-commerce framework and policies for fostering e-commerce competitiveness in the Asia Pacific Region with case studies from Malaysia for a study on the channels and factors of competitiveness derived from e-commerce in Australia, Malaysia, South Africa and Trinidad and Tobago. Report compiled in the field. (Commonwealth Secretariat). Paper on creating competitive advantage in E-Commerce in the Asia Pacific Region (Asian Institute for Strategic Studies).

• 

  World Bank Group

  Jan 2003 - Nov 2004

  Mission Chief

  Mission Chief of the Diagnostic Integration Study for Mali under the the Integrated Framework (IMF, ITC, UNCTAD, World Bank, WTO).

• 

  United Nations Development Programme

  Feb 2003 - Sept 2003

  Trade Economist

  Drafting of an analytical report on market opportunities for Cyprus SMEs arising from accession to the EU, as well as a competitiveness assessment.

• 

  EC Project - Jamaica

  Oct 2003 - Dec 2004

  Trade Policy Specialist - Jamaica

  Advisor in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade of Jamaica in the area of trade negotiations (EPA, WTO and CARICOM negotiations).

• 

  Ministry of Trade, Ethiopia

  Mar 2007 - Nov 2007

  Director of Trade Capacity Building Programme

  Running the largest trade related capacity building project in Ethiopia and Senior Trade Economist for the Ministry

• 

  UNDP

  Mar 2007 - Dec 2007

  Senior Trade Economist

  Author of study on Investment and Trade opportunities in the Black Sea Economic Cooperation region using qualitative and quantitative research tools (Gravity econometric equations; classical trade statistical indicators; trade flow analysis)

• 

  COMESA Secretariat, Zambia

  Jun 2007 - Oct 2007

  Senior Market Access Advisor

  Advising the Eastern and Southern African Secretariat with preparations for market access negotiations with the EU

• 

  Multilateral Trade Assistance Project (MUTRAP)-Vietnam

  Dec 2007 - Apr 2008

  Senior Expert (Macroeconomic Effects and Regional Integration)

  Author of chapter on macroeconomic effects of WTO accession for Vietnam; Project director of a team of 9 academics and consultants for formulating recommendations on regional trade negotiations after WTO accession

• 

  Government of Zanzibar, Tanzania

  Mar 2008 - Apr 2009

  Chief Technical Advisor

  CTA for the Ministry of Trade and Investments in trade negotiations and trade policy formulation

• 

  TradeCom/EC, Kenya & Tanzania

  Aug 2008 - Sept 2008

  Senior Trade Expert

  Project design for the East African Business Council based in Tanzania and Kenya

• 

  Caribbean OCTs EC project

  Jan 2009 - Jan 2010

  Senior Trade Expert

  Regional Integration Processes of Overseas Territories and Countries of the EU in the Caribbean (Anguila, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Montserrat, Turks and Caicos)

• 

  Vietnam Multilateral Trade Assistance Programme

  Aug 2009 - Dec 2009

  Senior Economist - Balance of Payments

  Programme to study the underlying causes of Vietnam's large trade deficit, to clarify the impact of WTO accession and other trade liberalization measures implemented in the last couple of years on the increasing trade deficit and overview related WTO provisions (Articles XII, XVIII:B of the GATT 1994 and the Understanding on the Balance-of-Payments Provisions of the GATT 1994), the relevant practices of members which had balance-of-payments difficulties and study the available WTO consistent measures which may be taken by developing country members to remedy the situation. Show less

• 

  Madagascar EC Project

  Feb 2010 - Jul 2010

  Senior Economist - Private Sector Development

  Developing a PSD Programme for Madagascar for SME development, Access to Finance, and Cultural Industries

• 

  Ghana EC Project

  Feb 2010 - Feb 2010

  Training on balance of payments provisions

  Senior Trade Policy Expert

• 

  Syria EC Project

  Mar 2010 - Nov 2010

  Trade Policy & Negotiations Expert

  Senior Trade Policy Expert

• 

  SADC Secretariat/EU Delegation

  Mar 2011 - Jul 2011

  Team Leader for SADC Regional Trade Facility

  Needs Assessment, Report and Identification Fiche for a €50 million SADC Regional Trade Facility

• 

  Namibia Ministry of Trade and Industry

  Apr 2011 - Sept 2011

  Team Leader for SACU Market Access Scheduling-Namibia

  Preparation of Market Access Scheduling in the WTO for Namibia and other SACU Member States

• 

  CARICOM Secretariat

  Apr 2011 - Mar 2012

  Team Leader for EC project with CARICOM Secretariat

  Preparation of study for the Council of Trade and Economic Development (COTED) and CARICOM Secretariat to decide on provisions in CARICOM to assist LDCs to protect infant industries under it's Treaty. Analysis of impact from uses of preferences and proposals to extend current provisions or provide alternative means to attain development objectives. Based in Guyana, Antigua and Barbuda, Belize, Dominica, Grenada, Haiti, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines. Show less

• 

  FGV

  Apr 2011 - Apr 2011

  Lecturer

  Lectures in economic modelling for trade and negotiations, as part of the visiting Professor Programme of FGV

• 

  CARICOM Office of Trade Negotiations (OTN), formerly the CRNM-Barbados

  Sept 2011 - Apr 2012

  Key Expert (Consultant)

  Consultant to the OTN on Trade & Environment, Trade & Climate Change, DDA Negotiations

• 

  Multilateral Trade Assistance Programme - Vietnam

  Nov 2011 - Dec 2011

  Senior Economist (Modelling)

  Training in Partial Equilibrium Modelling to Vietnamese academic and policy institutes

• 

  Department for International Development (DFID)

  Dec 2011 - Apr 2012

  Trade Economist

  TL for a feasibility study on establishing an Advisory Centre for Regional Trade Agreements on behalf of DFID.

• 

  Ministry of General Affairs Curacao

  Jan 2012 - May 2013

  Key Expert: Macroeconomist and International Trade Economist

  Preparation of Curacao's Long Term Sustainable Development Strategy.

• 

  ECOWAS Commission

  Jan 2012 - Mar 2012

  Key Expert - Study on Informal Trade

  Economic impact analysis of informal trade in West Africa.

• 

  Centre for Economics Trade and Regional Integration (CETRI)

  Feb 2012 - Sept 2012

  Director

  Director

• 

  CARICOM Secretariat

  May 2012 - Jun 2012

  Team Leader
• 

  EU Delegation and IMG

  Oct 2012 - Dec 2012

  Team Leader of Trade Mission

  Team leader for Identification mission for EU assistance in trade related capacity building assistance to Myanmar over short (2013-2014) and long term (2014-2018). Team comprises trade economist, macroeconomist, standards and conformity assessment expert, customs and trade facilitation expert, and SPS expert.

• 

  SADC

  Dec 2012 - Apr 2013

  Team Leader

  Operational Design of a 32 Million Euro Trade Facility for SADC Member States

• 

  EU-Myanmar Strengthening Reform Programme

  Jan 2013 - Jul 2013

  Head of Macroeconomics, trade and statistics

  Overseeing EU funded activities to Myanmar through their capacity building programme in the field of trade, macro-stability and statistics.

• 

  European Commission

  Jan 2013 - Jul 2014

  Managing a team of academic researchers, think tanks and policy advisors to produce a comprehensive impact assessment, based on CGE modelling and qualitative assessments, of the environmental, social and economic effects of a comprehensive EU-Vietnam FTA. Support the business community’s active role in trade negotiations and support EU-Ministry of Foreign Affairs Dialogue on economic areas. The study will propose measures (trade or non-trade, so-called ‘beyond the border’ or flanking policy measures, or at least indicate issues to tackle) to maximize the benefits of the FTA and prevent or minimize potential negative impacts. A BCEOM-EGIS implemented project. Show less

  • Team Leader/Senior Trade Policy Specialist

    Apr 2014 - Jul 2014

  • Coordinating Author for EC-Vietnam FTA Impact Assessment Study

    Oct 2013 - Jul 2014

  • Team Leader

    Jan 2013 - Nov 2013
• 

  International Trade Centre

  Apr 2013 - Jul 2013

  International Consultant

  Lead consultant for the preparation of a national export strategy for Myanmar (Ministry of Commerce)

• 

  International Economics Consulting Ltd

  Apr 2013 - now

  Chief Executive

  I launched International Economics Ltd after capitalising on 20 years’ experience providing governments and private sector clients key advice on economic policy and strategies. Leading a team of 20 highly qualified professional staff and associates across 10 countries, plus 25 senior international consultants, I have expanded the firm’s locations to London, Brussels, Hanoi and Mauritius, providing services in 50+ countries globally. International Economics Ltd is a trusted, and responsive strategic advisor to all our clients, with an ability to rapidly build lasting relationships and partnerships globally. I built a management consultancy to delivers cutting edge analysis and provides creative economic and trade solutions. Using an innovative, critical analysis approach, I have successfully crafted corporate strategies and public policies in fragile, complex countries (incl. Burundi, Cambodia, China, Congo DR, Ethiopia, Mali, Myanmar), forging their access to new investment and trade frontiers.In these challenging environments, accurate analysis, and a deep understanding of the regional geopolitical conditions is required. Using sophisticated economic, systems engineering and data modelling tools, our firm offers innovative solutions on monetary, investment and trade policies by analysing complex challenges and identifying successful strategies and critical opportunities for attaining business growth and mitigate against any risk. I am in charge of the vision and strategy for services delivery and lead a team of data scientists and software engineers for the development and deployment of the firm’s online analytics platform for tracking risk and opportunities in global trade and production networks, which was successfully launched on the Microsoft platform. Show less

• 

  Common Market For Eastern And Southern Africa

  Aug 2013 - Dec 2013

  Advisor/Consultant

  Formulation of Operational Guidelines for the Technical Cooperation Facility (TCF) (1.9 million Euros) under the regional Integration Support Programme (RISP3)

• 

  International Trade Centre

  Sept 2013 - Jul 2014

  Author with Victor Deleplancque of a National Export Strategy for Cote d'Ivoire under the PACIR program, inclusive of ITC value chain analysis in sectors of ICT, rubber and cacao. Value Chain Analysis of Key sectors and National Export Strategy for Myanmar Launching the management structure for value chain diagnostic studies for Botswana.

  • Senior International Consultant

    Feb 2014 - Jul 2014

  • International Consultant

    Aug 2013 - Jul 2014

  • International Consultant

    Sept 2013 - Sept 2013
• 

  IELPO LL.M. - Master of Laws in International Economic Law and Policy

  Mar 2014 - Mar 2018

  Visiting Lecturer

  Visiting Professor and Faculty Member for teaching economic impact assessment and economic modelling for trade negotiations for Master's programme at University of Barcelona

• 

  Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH

  Jul 2014 - Sept 2014

  International Consultant

  Formulation of action plan for EU trade capacity building programme in Myanmar 2015-2019, in areas relating to trade policy and negotiations, customs and trade facilitation and national quality infrastructure.

• 

  International Trade Centre

  Nov 2014 - Dec 2014

  Senior Consultant

  Diagnostic study of macroeconomic and trade conditions and sustainability for Mauritius.

• 

  European Commission

  Nov 2014 - Feb 2015

  Team Leader - Trade Formulation in Mongolia

  Trade Formulation Mission for EC to support Mongolia in trade policy formulation, negotiations and private sector development.

• 

  UNDP

  Dec 2014 - May 2015

  Author of Handbook

  Author of a Handbook for Trade Negotiations from Land-Locked Developing Countries in the Multilateral Trading System

• 

  International Trade Centre

  Apr 2015 - Dec 2015

  Value Chain Roadmap designs for Tanzania in leather products, sunflower seeds, and pulses. Preparation of a commodity business plan for the avocado sector and built in monitoring and evaluation system.

  • Value Chain Roadmap International Consultant

    Mar 2015 - Dec 2015

  • International Expert for Commodity Business Plan

    Apr 2015 - Aug 2015
• 

  European Commission

  Sept 2015 - Feb 2018

  Identification and Formulation of EU ASEAN Regional integration (ARISE+) trade program in Myanmar 2019-2022 Sustainable Impact Assessment (SIA) of the EU-Vietnam trade agreement, using CGE, partial equilibrium and other scenario analysis of the likely impact arising from the trade agreement. Specific analysis was made on macroeconomic, industry and sector, poverty, environmental and social effects. Identification and formulation of EC technical assistance for ASEAN connectivity support to Cambodia Impact assessment of the EU-ESA free trade agreement (Economic Partnership Agreement)

  • Team Leader

    Jul 2017 - Feb 2018

  • Team Leader - Trade Economist

    Feb 2017 - Nov 2017

  • Team Leader

    Aug 2016 - Jul 2017

  • Team leader - Development Economist

    Sept 2015 - Jan 2017
• 

  UNCTAD

  Sept 2015 - Jul 2016

  Senior International Expert

  Assessment of trade policies of Botswana and formulation of a National Trade Policy 2016-2020

• 

  Indian Ocean Commission

  Aug 2016 - Sept 2016

  Coordinating Author/Lead Economist

  Impact of Brexit on Eastern and Southern African Countries. CGE modelling and legal analysis. Co-authored with Saraswati Kiran, Andras Lakatos, Pablo quilts & David Vanzetti

• 

  Department for International Development (DFID)

  Feb 2018 - Oct 2018

  Process evaluation of the South Asia Regional Integration Programme (SARTIP). SARTIP focuses on promoting innovative approaches to regional coordination of the World Bank, ADB and IFC in South Asia working across trade corridors, investment and regional energy and water development. It is focused on the northern belt of South Asia, the arc running above and below the Himalayas through Central Asia, Afghanistan, northern Pakistan and India, Nepal, Bhutan and Bangladesh linking to South East Asia (via Myanmar). Show less

  • Team Leader

    Nov 2016 - Oct 2018

  • Team Leader

    Feb 2018 - Jun 2018
• 

  World Bank Group

  Oct 2018 - May 2019

  Lead Economist (Team Leader)

  Stocktaking of the World Bank's Trade Facilitation Support Programme (TFSP, over 40 countries 45 Million USD), a flagship technical assistance program administered by the World Bank Group (WBG), supports countries in aligning their trade practices with the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA). Provided an independent assessment of TFSP’s performance and results achieved to date to the TFSP’s stakeholders; and identify areas to improve its effectiveness.

• 

  Cap Business Océan Indien

  Dec 2018 - Feb 2020

  Advisor

  Quality advisor to the consulting team for the formulation of a five-year strategic growth roadmap of the Union of chambers from Reunion, Madagascar, Mauritius, Seychelles and Mayotte.

• 

  UNCTAD

  Dec 2018 - Apr 2019

  International Consultant E-Commerce

  UN funded. E-Commerce study and strategy roadmap for Lesotho focusing on payments, infrastructure, logistics and trade facilitation.

• 

  The Commonwealth Secretariat

  Mar 2019 - May 2019

  Senior E-Commerce Consultant for WTO Negotiations

  Commonwealth Secretariat. E-Commerce position paper for Commonwealth Small States in the WTO negotiations for trade in services

• 

  College of Europe in Natolin

  Mar 2019 - now

  Visiting Professor

  Delivering lectures on Assessing Macroeconomic and Regulatory Risks in the Global Economy for the Master's Programme at the College of Europe

• 

  Landell Mills

  Aug 2019 - Jan 2020

  Senior Business Facilitation Expert - Africa

  EU funded project. Design of a business facilitation framework (operational and institutional) to support the regional integration covering policy and regulation, business environment, trade facilitation and connectivity, as well to provide policy recommendations for the reform agenda of five countries under Accelerated Programme for Economic Integration (APEI) in Eastern and Southern Africa.

• 

  International Trade Centre

  Aug 2019 - Dec 2019

  International Consultant

  UN funded. Design of a Strategic Development Roadmap (STDR) and National Export Strategy (NES) for Curacao in exports of services and goods, including value chain analysis of key sectors.

• 

  Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs

  Oct 2019 - Nov 2019

  Team Leader M&E Review

  DANIDA. Independent assessment and quality assurance of the design and documentation of a Danish programme of supporting the African Union Commission (AUC) and the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) during the negotiation, implementation and operationalisation of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA).

• 

  Ministry of Trade of the Republic of Indonesia

  Oct 2019 - Dec 2020

  Trade Negotiation Lead Training Expert
• 

  The Commonwealth Secretariat

  Nov 2019 - Aug 2020

  Economic Development Programme Team Lead M&E
• 

  Department for International Development (DFID)

  Nov 2019 - Dec 2019

  Lead Economist

  DFID/DIT. Evidence-based study to facilitate the understanding and measurement of the impact by preferential trade arrangements on gender equality and women’s economic empowerment and to serve as policy recommendations for the UK’s future GSP system post-Brexit.

• 

  Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat

  Jan 2020 - Dec 2020

  E-Commerce Assessment and Digital Trade Blueprint Lead
• 

  Foreign and Commonwealth Office

  Jan 2020 - Apr 2020

  Lead Economist

  FCO/DIT. Economic impact assessment of the trade interests between the UK and India

• 

  The World Bank

  May 2020 - Aug 2022

  Implementation by IEC of a joint World Bank and UN Research Platform on COVID-19 Recovery, with academic partners, to showcase methodologies existing data and results of impact methodologies for COVID-19 recovery. The management team also comprises Erik von Uexkhull, Senior Economist at World Bank, Pierre Fallavier, Senior Adviser at UNRC, Arvind Kureeman, Senior Analtyics Manager at IEC. International Economics Ltd is working as World Bank Programme Coordinator for sourcing COVID-19 supplies from regional manufacturers and mapping of demand across the region (Comoros, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mayotte, Mozambique, Reunion, Seychelles, Zambia).

  • Lead COVID Impact Research Platform

    Aug 2020 - Aug 2022

  • Lead Economist - COVID-19 Recovery Through Trade

    May 2020 - Sept 2020
• 

  World Economic Forum

  May 2020 - Jul 2020

  Lead, Senior Trade Economist

  Internal Review of the Global Trade Facilitation Alliance work in Trade Facilitation and it's impact and relevance for SMEs.

• 

  Asian Development Bank (ADB)

  Jun 2020 - Oct 2020

  Macroeconomic and Trade Modelling Lead
• 

  ASEAN-BAC

  Jul 2020 - Dec 2020

  Regional Digital Trade Connectivity in ASEAN Workstream Lead

  Exploring the opportunities for a private-led Digital trade Connectivity Platform for trade facilitation across the ASEAN region (all 10 countries). Launched by the ASEAN Business Advisory Council, in partnership with the UK Government's FCDO.

• 

  United Nations Economic Commission for Africa

  Jul 2020 - Oct 2020

  Trade in Services Southern Africa Author
• 

  UNDP

  Oct 2020 - Jun 2021

  Export Guides Author

  Authoring Six Export Guides for the Markets of UK, USA, EU, EFTA, AfCFTA and SADC Trade protocol

• 

  World Trade Organization

  Nov 2020 - Mar 2021

  LDC graduation Impact in Textiles and Clothing Chapter Author
• 

  Smart Africa

  Dec 2020 - Sept 2021

  E-Payment Blueprint for Africa Team Leader
• 

  B A P P E N A S (Indonesian Ministry of National Development Planning)

  Mar 2021 - Sept 2021

  COVID-19 Impact on Indonesian GVCs
• 

  Ministry of Trade of the Republic of Indonesia

  Apr 2021 - Aug 2021

  E-Commerce Adviser

  Research into opportunities in cross-border e-commerce for Indonesia SMEs and requirements of eMarket Places in several markets including: China, Vietnam, Netherlands, UAE and Poland

• 

  UNCTAD

  May 2021 - Apr 2022

  Angola Impact Assessment of Free Trade Agreements Study Lead

  Sustainable Impact Assessment of Angola's assessment to the SADC-EU Economic Partnership Agreement.

• 

  Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development

  May 2021 - Oct 2021

  Blockchain and Development Financing Foresight Study Team Leader

  Foresight study on Digital Ledger Technologies to guide Germany's development finance portfolio

• 

  Asian Development Bank (ADB)

  Jul 2021 - Oct 2021

  Trade and Competitiveness Economist

  US$120 million loan scoping mission for Trade and Competitiveness

• 

  World Trade Organization

  Jul 2021 - Oct 2021

  LDC graduation study for Cambodia and Zambia

  Impact of LDC graduation for Cambodia and Cambia

• 

  ARISE+ Cambodia

  Sept 2021 - Mar 2024

  FTA Impact and Potential Studies

  Lead International Economist for Ministry of Commerce 2030 FTA foresight study to identify future FTA partners, and Impact Assessments of Cambodia FTAs.

• 

  Africa Trade Foundation

  Jun 2023 - now

  Chairman

  At the Africa Trade Foundation, our mission is to empower the African continent through trade and investment, by connecting regional markets and supporting Africa’s integration in global value chains.Established in June 2023 in Mauritius, we are a non-profit organisation dedicated to advancing regional and continental trade and investment in Africa and facilitating Africa’s integration into the global economy.The beneficiaries of the Foundation are the African Union Member Countries Government bodies, African Private Sector, African civil society with an interest in continental trade and investment, global entities wishing to trade with, and/or invest in Africa. The foundation's work is to (1) advance education and research in international trade and regional integration in Africa; (2) facilitate trade in goods and services through education, training, and capacity-building; (3) provide technical assistance and advisory services to MSMEs , with a focus on women and youth entrepreneurs; (4) advocate for the importance of trade and investment in Africa and promoting economic growth; (5) conducting research on international and regional trade issues and disseminating the results; (6) facilitate the exchange of information and best practices among stakeholders; and (7) advocate for policies and initiatives that promote trade and investment in Africa. Show less

• 

  Asian Development Bank (ADB)

  Jun 2023 - now

  Team Lead

  Global Value Chain Study Strategy to 2030 for Vietnam in Renewable Energy, Textile and Clothing, Electronics and Agri-processing

• 

  The World Bank

  Sept 2023 - Jul 2024

  Senior Trade Consultant

  Value Chain Analysis for Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar

• 

  Global Affairs Canada | Affaires mondiales Canada

  Mar 2024 - now

  Team Lead

  Econometric and CGE study on impact of standards on exports and GDP in Peru