Pedro Rafael Lopes Fernandes

Experience

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  Universidade do Estado do Rio Grande do Norte

  Aug 2008 - Jan 2011

  I assisted the professor of microeconomics, teaching extra classes and elaborating quizzes and exams. In this position my responsabilities were collect and organize international trade data. The job was setting up a big data set including information about Brazilian trade with the rest of the world.I worked under supervision of Professor phd. Joedson Farias.

  • Research And Teaching Assistant

    Apr 2009 - Jan 2011

  • Research Assistant

    Aug 2008 - Sept 2009
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  Federal University of Ceará

  Aug 2012 - May 2014

  Research and Teaching Assistant

  In my role as a teacher and research assistant, I had the opportunity to instruct Industrial Organization classes, where I engaged in various tasks to facilitate effective learning and understanding. These tasks included:Resolving problem sets: I guided students through problem-solving exercises, helping them apply the principles and concepts of Industrial Organization to real-world scenarios. By providing guidance and feedback, I supported their comprehension and mastery of the subject matter.Building and cleaning data sets: I undertook the important task of constructing and preparing data sets relevant to the field of Industrial Organization. This involved sourcing data, organizing it in a structured manner, and ensuring its cleanliness and accuracy for analysis.Conducting econometric analysis related to merger regulation: I performed econometric analyses that specifically focused on merger regulation. By applying rigorous analytical methods to relevant data, I evaluated the effects of mergers on market competition and efficiency. This enabled me to contribute to the understanding of merger regulation dynamics.Organizing presentations with a literature review: I curated and presented literature reviews on topics such as merger regulation, the detection of anticompetitive effects arising from mergers, and demand estimation. These presentations fostered a deeper understanding of the subject matter among students and facilitated discussions on the latest research and insights.Throughout these activities, I worked under the supervision of Professor Sérgio Aquino DeSouza, who provided guidance and mentorship, ensuring the quality and relevance of the educational experience. Show less

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  State University of Rio Grande do Norte - UERN.

  Apr 2014 - Dec 2016

  Lecturer of Economic theory

  During my time at UERN, I had the privilege of teaching a diverse range of subjects, including mathematical economics, microeconomics, economic growth, macroeconomics, as well as the history of Brazilian economics. These classes encompassed extensive economic theory, but I also fostered an environment that encouraged students to apply economic thinking to real-world problem-solving. To achieve this, I incorporated activities involving game theory and the economics of strategy.In the subject of mathematical economics, I imparted fundamental quantitative skills and analytical tools, equipping students with the ability to apply mathematical models to economic analysis. I aimed to deepen their understanding of economic principles and their application in decision-making.In microeconomics, I focused on the behavior of individual economic agents and market interactions. By exploring topics such as consumer theory, market structures, and strategic behavior, I challenged students to think critically and analyze economic phenomena from a microeconomic perspective.The subject of economic growth allowed students to delve into theories and models that explain long-term economic development. Through case studies and empirical research, I encouraged students to explore the determinants of economic growth and evaluate policy implications.In macroeconomics, I covered topics such as aggregate demand and supply, fiscal and monetary policy, and economic fluctuations. By examining macroeconomic phenomena and policy debates, I facilitated students' understanding of the broader economic context and its implications.Throughout these subjects, my aim was not only to convey economic theory but also to inspire critical thinking and problem-solving skills. By incorporating activities involving game theory and the economics of strategy, I encouraged students to apply economic concepts to real-world scenarios and explore innovative solutions to complex problems. Show less

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  Ipplan Fortaleza | Instituto de Pesquisa e Planejamento de Fortaleza

  Jan 2015 - Dec 2015

  Senior Economic Analyst

  In this position, I had three distinct tasks that I diligently undertook. Firstly, I was responsible for preparing an economic and quantitative report assessing the economic effects resulting from public investments made by Fortaleza's public administration. To accomplish this, I conducted a comprehensive time series analysis to examine the patterns and trends in public investment. Additionally, I studied the potential impacts of this investment on key variables such as employment and economic activity, providing valuable insights into the outcomes of these initiatives.My second task involved investigating the landscape of private investment in the city. This entailed identifying the economic sectors that were actively investing and those that were not. By examining these trends, I provided a holistic understanding of the private investment dynamics within Fortaleza, enabling the identification of potential areas for growth and development.The third task encompassed collecting and organizing economic and social data, which served as the foundation for constructing information sets. These information sets were instrumental in supporting the public administration's policy elaboration process. By synthesizing and presenting relevant data, I facilitated evidence-based decision-making and policy formulation within the organization.Throughout these tasks, I demonstrated meticulous attention to detail, rigorous analysis, and the ability to derive meaningful insights from complex economic and social data. My contributions aimed to inform and guide the public administration in its pursuit of effective and impactful public policies Show less

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  Department of Economic Development - State Government of the Ceará

  Jun 2015 - Jan 2016

  Senior Strategist

  I served as the coordinator for the elaboration and implementation of development strategies for small cities in the state. During my tenure, I achieved notable accomplishments that warrant special attention:Development of Local Potential Identification Strategies: As a member of the team, I played a pivotal role in formulating the first set of strategies to identify and leverage the unique potentials of each city in the State of Ceará. This involved comprehensive research, analysis, and collaboration with stakeholders to uncover and highlight the distinctive attributes and opportunities for development within each locality.Action Plan for Improving the Public Education System: Alongside my colleagues, I contributed to the creation of an action plan aimed at enhancing the public education system in the state. This meticulously crafted plan underwent rigorous evaluation by a World Bank commission and was subsequently approved. As a result, the government secured additional credit to invest in public policies directly related to public education, facilitating much-needed improvements in the education sector.These accomplishments exemplify my ability to drive impactful change and foster collaboration for the betterment of small cities in the state Show less

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  Ipplan Fortaleza | Instituto de Pesquisa e Planejamento de Fortaleza

  Jun 2016 - Nov 2016

  Economic Coordinator

  Another significant working experience I had was as the economic coordinator in the budget team of the Fortaleza 2040 Project. The Fortaleza 2040 Project is a comprehensive social and economic development program designed to guide and inspire all public policies in Fortaleza for the next 23 years until 2040.In this role, I was responsible for conducting an economic analysis of the relationship between Fortaleza's public budget and its economic growth. I performed an in-depth assessment of Fortaleza's investment capacity, utilizing econometric methods to analyze the potential impact of funds invested by the city's public administration on employment and economic activity levels.Additionally, I took on the task of developing strategies aimed at enhancing the investment capacity of the public administration and improving the overall business environment of the city Show less

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  State Government of the Ceará

  Sept 2017 - Feb 2020

  In my role, I undertake a variety of responsibilities, including:Coordinating the development of economic and quantitative studies on subjects of interest to the Ceará 2050 Platform. This involves conducting in-depth research and analysis to generate valuable insights and inform decision-making processes.Providing advisory support to the top-tier committee of the Ceará 2050 on topics such as economic development, quality of public investment, and public budget management. This includes offering expert guidance and recommendations based on my expertise in these areas.Coordinating and conducting ex-ante evaluations of 429 public policy projects. This involves assessing the potential impacts and feasibility of these projects before their implementation, contributing to informed decision-making and efficient resource allocation.Leading the coordination and development of a dynamic optimization approach to address the public choice problem associated with the expenditure execution of the Ceará 2050 project portfolio. This entails employing advanced techniques and methodologies to optimize resource allocation and maximize project outcomes.These responsibilities demonstrate my commitment to contributing to the success and effective implementation of the Ceará 2050 initiative. Show less As the technical lead, I am responsible for several key tasks in relation to the Ceará 2050 portfolio:Elaborating the budget for the Ceará 2050 portfolio: I take charge of developing the budget, ensuring its accuracy and alignment with the strategic objectives of the initiative. This involves meticulous financial planning and resource allocation.Implementing activities to ensure economic rigor in cost and benefit estimations: I employ rigorous methodologies and analytical techniques to confer economic accuracy to the estimations of costs and benefits associated with each of the 429 public policy projects within the portfolio. This helps to ensure informed decision-making and resource optimization.Providing advisory support to the top-tier Ceará 2050 committee: I offer expert advice and insights on subjects related to quantitative analysis and the design of public policies. By leveraging my expertise, I contribute to the development of evidence-based policy recommendations and effective decision-making processes. Show less

  • Budget Planning Coordinator - Ceará 2050.

    Jan 2019 - Feb 2020

  • Manager of Economic Viability - Plan Ceará 2050.

    Sept 2017 - Dec 2018
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  Fundação Itaú Social

  Mar 2018 - Mar 2021

  Affiliate Professor

  Experience in delivering classes on the evaluation of public policy impact. This includes program design and the development of evaluation plans. Topics covered include the logic framework, theory of change, and the elaboration of quantitative indicators for monitoring and evaluation purposes.I also provide instruction on quasi-experimental methods of evaluation, such as difference-in-differences, propensity score matching, LATE, RDD, and synthetic control. These methods are presented and discussed in the classes.Moreover, I am proficient in monetizing estimated impact and computing metrics of economic return, which are also covered extensively and discussed with the students Show less

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  BFA Assessoria em Finanças e Negócios

  Nov 2018 - Feb 2021

  Associate Economist

  I offer evidence-based advisory services for businesses, providing strategic guidance backed by rigorous analysis. My expertise includes conducting economic and econometric analyses of companies and markets. I evaluate the potential gains and losses that can result from strategic positioning decisions for companies. Furthermore, I estimate potential synergies that may arise from mergers and acquisitions.I also specialize in developing entry and dissuasion strategies, assisting businesses in making informed decisions regarding market entry or deterrence. To support decision-making, I excel in elaborating and simulating scenarios that enable businesses to assess various outcomes and make well-informed choices.Additionally, I conduct market research to provide valuable insights into industry trends, customer preferences, and competitive landscapes Show less

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  Inter-american Center of Tax Administrations

  May 2019 - Dec 2020

  Associate Consultant

  My work for CIAT encompasses activities related to the elaboration and evaluation of public policies. I have experience in writing didactic materials, such as guides, to educate clients on these subjects, facilitating their understanding and application.Moreover, upon request, I can also assist with the elaboration of socioeconomic diagnostics, providing valuable insights into the economic and social conditions of specific contexts. I am skilled in presenting workshops, delivering engaging sessions to enhance participants' knowledge and skills in relevant areas.Furthermore, I am proficient in implementing economic and econometric analyses, utilizing advanced analytical tools and techniques to derive valuable insights and support decision-making processes." Show less

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  Ceará Foundation to the Foment of the Technological and Scientific Development

  Sept 2019 - Sept 2020

  Associate Researcher - Early Childhood Development, Poverty and Public Health

  In this role, my responsibilities encompass a range of tasks, including:Elaborating and designing survey questionnaires, supported by theoretical and empirical references.Cleaning and organizing datasets to ensure data integrity and usability.Promoting and attending meetings with stakeholders, researchers, and public authorities to gather valuable insights and collaborate on projects.Developing and implementing causal identification strategies to examine cause-and-effect relationships.Writing and presenting research reports, as well as developing scientific papers to contribute to the body of knowledge in the field.These duties are integral to my role and allow me to contribute to the effective implementation of research projects and the dissemination of findings. Show less

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  REPP - Rede de Economistas Pretas e Pretos

  Sept 2020 - Jun 2022

  Board Member
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  Fundação Maria Cecília Souto Vidiga,

  Mar 2021 - Jul 2022

  Senior Officer at Applied Knowledge team

  I am responsible for planning and coordinating projects focused on the impact evaluation and implementation of early childhood policies. Specifically, I am currently leading the following initiatives:The first national evaluation of the quality of the public infant education system. This project aims to assess the quality of early childhood education provided by the public sector on a national scale.An evaluation portfolio that measures the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on children, parents, professors, and school management practices. This comprehensive evaluation seeks to understand the effects of the pandemic on various stakeholders in the education system.Evaluations on the implementation of public policies. These evaluations aim to assess the effectiveness and efficiency of implemented policies, providing valuable insights for decision-making and policy improvement.A project focused on promoting innovation in public governance. This initiative aims to foster innovative approaches and practices in the realm of public governance, encouraging new solutions and strategies.A research project aimed at understanding collaborative efforts among state and municipal governments in the implementation of public policies. This research explores the dynamics and effectiveness of collaboration between different levels of government in the context of policy implementation.These projects reflect my dedication to generating evidence-based insights, evaluating policy effectiveness, and promoting innovation in the field of early childhood policies Show less

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  Ipplan Fortaleza | Instituto de Pesquisa e Planejamento de Fortaleza

  Aug 2022 - Mar 2023

  Design and management of evaluations across all stages of the policy cycle. I am skilled in developing technical notes that provide evidence-based insights to inform policymaking decisions. Additionally, I have experience in effectively managing a research team of six members at the Fortaleza Observatory.Highlighted Projects:Manager of the Fortaleza Voluntary Local Review (VLR) - Agenda 2030: In this role, I oversee the comprehensive assessment and reporting of Fortaleza's progress towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals outlined in the Agenda 2030. This involves coordinating data collection, analysis, and the preparation of the VLR report.Manager of the Project DesiguaLab: As the manager of DesiguaLab, an Idea Lab dedicated to fighting inequality through innovation in public policy design and implementation, I provide strategic and technical leadership and ensure the successful execution of the project. This involves research on the effectiveness of the policy labs and the design of a conceptual plan.Manager of the Frente & Verso Notes: In this capacity, I am responsible for the management of the Frente & Verso Notes project. This initiative aims to produce informative notes on various policy topics, providing analysis, insights, and recommendations for policymakers and stakeholders. Show less

  • Manager of Studies and Research

    Oct 2022 - Mar 2023

  • Leader of Knowledge Dissemination

    Aug 2022 - Oct 2022
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  GREat

  Sept 2022 - Feb 2023

  Econometrist

  In my role, I specialize in the design and implementation of causal identification strategies and econometric methods using public databases. I possess expertise in leveraging economic analysis to support decision-makers. My key responsibilities include:Designing robust causal identification strategies: I excel in developing rigorous approaches to identify causal relationships, allowing for accurate assessments of the impact of policies and interventions.Utilizing advanced econometric methods: I am proficient in employing sophisticated econometric techniques to analyze public databases. This enables me to extract meaningful insights and generate reliable empirical evidence.Elaborating reports and presentations: I have a strong aptitude for synthesizing complex economic analysis into concise and compelling reports and presentations. This facilitates effective communication of findings and recommendations to stakeholders and decision-makers.Providing advisory services: I offer expert advice on leveraging economic analysis to inform and support decision-making processes. By assisting decision-makers in understanding and interpreting economic insights, I contribute to evidence-based policy formulation.My focus on designing robust causal identification strategies, utilizing advanced econometric methods, and providing clear and actionable advice allows me to play a crucial role in supporting decision-makers with economic analysis. Show less

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  Columbia Global Centers

  Mar 2023 - Oct 2023

  GovTech Fellow

  Engagement in interinstitutional and multidisciplinary cooperation for public policy innovation and sustainable development.

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  Unichristus

  Jun 2023 - Oct 2023

  Professor Convidado de Economia

  Professor convidado para lecionar a disciplina Análise de Cenários Econômicos para a Tomada de Decisão. Disciplina em nível de pós graduação voltada a instruir gestores de empresas públicas e privadas a lerem os cenários econômicos e a incorporarem estás análises a sua tomada de decisão.

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  Governo de Goiás

  Sept 2023 - Aug 2024

  Chief Economist - Macroeconomic Forecasting

  I lead a team of economists delivering macroeconomic analysis at the Mauro Borges Institute of Statistics and Socioeconomic Studies (IMB). Our objective is to serve the government of Goiás with high-level input concerning the national, and international macroeconomic scenario and regional economic environment.Main productsQuarterly:Macroeconomic Outlook - A succinct description of the macroeconomic landscape. The objective is to assess the short-run prospective for economic growth, inflation, and commodities prices, combining regional perspective with national scenario evaluation. Macroeconomic projections report: A brief report concerning the update of IMB's GDP growth and Inflation forecasts. It is important to mention that these forecasts guide the state budgeting process. Monthly: Report analyzing the results of the Monthly Survey on Trade (PMC)A report examining the results of the Monthly Survey of Industry (PIM)A report examining the Monthly Survey of Services (PMS)Quarterly: A macroeconomic report updating projections for variables such as GDP, Inflation, and its components.Daily basis:Elaboration of white papers discussing macroeconomic themes on demand of the Governor's cabinet. Show less

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  Fundação Itaú

  Sept 2023 - Dec 2024

  Associate Economist

  Economic Development Study Design. Data analysis, estimation of quasi-experimental methodologies, preparation of presentations and reports